The Warren Plan and the Prospects for Medicare for All

I’ve been ambivalentabout the politics and policy of single-payer for a long time. That’s for three reasons First, while I by and large don’t think that a more left-wing program will hurt Democrats in the general election—just the opposite is true—there are certain ways it can hurt. The first is if we put forward plans that require tax increases on the working and middle classes. I do think that ultimately some of those tax increases will be necessary and that the benefits received in return for them will be greater than the costs of the tax increases. But it is a fundamental rule of politics that people are more agitated by what they are losing than what they are gaining. And talking about tax increases for future benefits is hard to explain and hard to defend especially because most Americans are not terribly well-informed about politics and public policy and… Continue reading

Please No Entry Level Politicians

The most foolish idea in politics: an utterly inexperienced person can be effective in high office because he or she can hire “talented, experienced people to guide them.” Here’s the problem: There are always “talented, experienced” people willing to give advice. But (1) half of them aren’t really all that talented and their experience comes from working with and following others who are genuinely talented and experienced. And (2) all those folks disagree in the advice they give. So if you are going to be president or some other high level position you better have some capacity to choose between different advisors and the advice they give. And you can’t do that if you don’t, yourself, have sufficient talent and experience in poiltics. And you need both. The examples are legion, starting with the current occumpant of the White House. But they are all around us and include two of… Continue reading

Why We Remember the Holocaust

Originally published in the Jewish Exponent, July 4, 2019 The point of remembering the Holocaust is not to say that it was an utterly distinctive event in human history. Every historical event is distinctive in some ways, but systematic genocide of a people has, sadly, been found at many times and places in human history. The point of remembering the Holocaust is not to give Jews a claim on the attention or sympathy of others. The point of remembering the Holocaust is certainly not to assert that our sins have been redeemed by our suffering or that of others. The point of remembering the Holocaust is to ensure that it never happens again to anyone and any group. We live at an extremely dangerous time. Some of us see parallels between the Trump movement and the fascism of the 1930s. And we see parallels between concentration camps in which immigrants are being held and… Continue reading

Pizza and the Minimum Wage

Originally posted at Penn-Live on April 09, 2019 Spend a little time talking to Republican (and some Democratic) legislators about raising the minimum wage, and they will eventually tell you about their friend who owns a pizza shop and opposes an increase. This is the story the pizza shop owners appear to tell our legislators: If the minimum wage goes up by 2/3rds from $7.25 to $12.00 an hour, I’d have to raise the price of my 12-inch pizza by 2/3rds from $9.49 to $15.75. No one will buy a pizza for $15.74 and I’ll go out of business.” We decided to test this claim in two ways. Every state surrounding Pennsylvania has raised its minimum wage, and two have raised it substantially. The minimum wage in New York is $11.10, 53% more than in Pennsylvania. In Maryland it is $10.10, 39% more. If the pizza shop owners who talk… Continue reading

This Isn’t the Redistricting Reform We Need

HARRISBURG—Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center director Marc Stier made the following statement regarding the resurfacing of SB22, a bill intended to change the way legislative redistricting is done in Pennsylvania: Senator Mike Folmer announced this week that he will be resurrecting last year’s failed SB22, a bill to change the way district lines are drawn in Pennsylvania. Senator Folmer is preparing to bring the bill back up for a vote in the State Government Committee as early as tomorrow. While eliminating gerrymandering is critically important, Senator Folmer is hoping to catch Pennsylvanians unawares as he attempts to bring a failed bill to a committee vote without holding debate and hearings and without gathering input from the communities that will be most impacted by SB22. Governor Wolf established a redistricting commission earlier this year and Senator Folmer should not attempt to rush SB22 through committee without giving Pennsylvanians a chance to… Continue reading

Is Barr’s Letter a Whitewash of the Obstruction of Justice Charge?

After reading Attorney General Barr’s letter summarizing the principal conclusions of the Mueller report, it seems to me even more imperative that the full report be released as soon as possible. For there is some real reason to think that Barr is whitewashing Mueller’s conclusions, especially when it comes to the question of Trump’s obstruction of justice. According to Barr, Mueller does not reach a conclusion about whether Trump should be charged with that crime but, instead, sets out reasons for and against doing so. But then Barr concludes, with only 48 hours of considering the issue, that he should not be charged—and presumably should not be investigated by the House of Representatives—for obstructing justice. Barr says that no actions taken by Trump “had a nexus to a pending or contemplated proceeding, and were done with corrupt intent.” That is a plain restatement of what appears to be the law… Continue reading

Governor Wolf’s 2019-2020 Budget: A First Take

Governor Wolf’s 2019-2020 budget proposal reflects the unique political moment in which it is presented. Pennsylvania is a state poised between two visions of government in Pennsylvania. The governor’s budget points to the future being born. But the budget is constrained by another vision that is not dying as quickly as we would like. The governor’s budget, like the budgets of his successful first administration, points the way to our future—a future in which Pennsylvanians act together to create inclusive prosperity that allows everyone, no matter their race, class, gender or where they live in the state to live a life of dignity, prosperity, and opportunity. However, until the General Assembly reflects the changing priorities of Pennsylvanians, which includes support for proposals that generate new revenues from the very rich and corporations, the state budget will not invest sufficiently in education at all levels, health care, infrastructure, and protecting our… Continue reading

I’m a Zionist and I Welcome Marc Lamont Hill’s Remarks

I remain a Zionist who believes that Jews deserve a national political entity and that such an entity must respect the rights of Palestinians to have one as well. That can be accomplished in many ways, whether two side by side states or two entities within a bi-national confederation or some new, unconventional solution that allows for the pursuit of communal interests on the part of each community while allowing for democratic free movement through and control of a shared land. Marc Lamont Hill’s op-ed today says that he is inclined to some kind of bi-national confederation and that his use of the term “from the river to the sea” was not meant to call for the destruction of Israel but reform of its policies within a bi-national framework. Especially since his speech—which I urge everyone to listen to—was focused on encouraging people to understand and stand up against the… Continue reading

On the IFO Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This press release from the Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center includes a statement from director Marc Stier regarding the November 2018 Press Release of the Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook for Pennsylvania. HARRISBURG — The Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center released the following statement from director Marc Stier regarding today’s press release of the Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook for Pennsylvania: “The Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook, which was released today, confirms warnings we have been giving since July. While the state’s General Fund budget for the current year was balanced, it relied heavily on one-shot revenues and borrowing on the Tobacco Settlement. The previous two state budgets did the same thing. And the bills for paying for necessary state expenditures with one-shot revenues and borrowing are coming due. “The IFO predicts that the budget deficit for fiscal… Continue reading

The We The People — PA Policy Agenda and the 2018 Midterm Election

Marc Stier of We The People — Pennsylvania made the following statement about last night’s General Assembly election results: Changing the direction of a state as large as Pennsylvania is a large project that takes some time. But Pennsylvania took a huge step towards embracing a new politics that focuses common-sense policies that work for all of us, not just for the wealthy and well-connected. When we launched We The People — Pennsylvania, conversations with people of all kinds from every part of the state told us that Pennsylvanians were looking for a new direction in our politics — one that focuses on positive, common-sense policies that work for all of us. Last night, voters across the state found those kind of candidates — candidates who endorsed the six principles of the We The People — PA policy agenda. In the General Election of 2018, five state Senate seats and eleven state House seats have… Continue reading