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Pa. is in the throes of a COVID-19 recession. Wolf, lawmakers need to step up for working families

  By COVID-19, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Budget, Published op-eds

Originally published at the PA Capital-Star November 17, 2020 By Marc Stier No matter where we live, what we look like, whether we are native–born or immigrants, or whether we are struggling or getting by, the COVID-19 recession is a threat to all of us. We need the state government to do more for families and small businesses to meet that threat. Yet the recession will cost the state at least $3.3 billion in revenues—and perhaps more—over two years. Squaring this circle would be difficult at any time, but the General Assembly must act by Nov. 30 when the stop-gap budget enacted in May, covering about about half of the General Fund,  runs out. Democratic and Republican senators appear close to a compromise that avoids a budget impasse at this dangerous time even as it leaves many problems unresolved. Our understanding is that it would fund a full-year General Fund budget at the same level as in fiscal 2019-2020 with some adjustments… Continue reading

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The Budget Pennsylvania Needs Now: A Preview and Analysis of the Full-Year 2020 Budget

  By Pennsylvania Budget

Download or print full document. No matter where we live, what we look like, whether we are native-born or immigrants, or whether we are struggling or getting by, the COVID-19 recession is a threat to all of us. We need the state government to do more for families and small businesses to meet that threat. Yet the recession will cost the state at least $3.3 billion in revenues over two years. Squaring this circle would be difficult at any time, but the General Assembly must act by November 30 when the stop-gap funding, enacted in June for about half of the General Fund, runs out. Democratic and Republican senators appear close to a compromise that avoids a budget impasse at this dangerous time even as it leaves many problems unresolved. Our understanding is that it would fund a full-year General Fund budget at the same level as in Fiscal Year… Continue reading

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Why The Republicans In Harrisburg Won’t Fight COVID-19

  By COVID-19, PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Pennsylvania

Originally published by KRC-PBPC here. COVID-19 cases are rising again across the country and in our state. Cases in Pennsylvania are averaging 1,552 per day in October, almost double the 787 average per day in September and above the 1,364 average per day in April. And, the best evidence we have is that it is not just due to expanded testing. We are testing an average of 15,514 in October, a bit more than in September (13,847 per day) and far more than April (5,996 per day). But the percentage of tests that are positive is also increasing from 7% in September to 9% in October, though far below the 23% found in April. Deaths from COVID-19 have only risen by a small amount in Pennsylvania. But while better treatments should keep us from the disastrous numbers of April, we know that the rise in deaths typically lag the rise… Continue reading

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Statement on the Death of William Wallace, Jr.

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, Statements, White Supremacy and Structural Racism

Originally published by KRC-PBPC here. The murder of Walter Wallace, Jr. is being called tragic. And it is. But when certain tragedies keep happening, they are not just tragic, let alone accidents or mistakes. They are policy. And when public policy leads over and over again to the death of Black people in circumstances where white people are more likely to be spared, the policy is deeply immoral and shameful. And ending it must be our first priority. For the sake of everyone, and especially Black and brown people, we need to rethink and re-imagine how we provide public safety in our Commonwealth. Continue reading

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How the General Assembly Can Try to Steal the Election, Why It Would Be Wrong to Do So, and How to Stop It

  By 2020, Policy reports, Presidential election process

Originally published by KRC-PBPC here. There has been loose talk among right-wing activists calling on the General Assembly to intervene in the choice of presidential electors and thus overriding the vote of the people. Here is what the PA General Assembly might try to do and why under the law and Constitutions of Pennsylvania and the United States, they should not be allowed to do it. Click here to print or read the report full-screen. Continue reading

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The General Assembly Cannot Unilaterally Stop Mail-In Ballots From Being Counted

  By 2020, Policy briefs, Presidential election process

Right-wing advocates and Trump supporters are urging the General Assembly to take action next week to override the Pennsylvania Supreme Court decision that allows ballots received after 8 pm on Election Day to be counted. This would be an appalling attack on the rights of Pennsylvanians to vote and have their vote counted, one of the most central rights we have as Americans. Here is what they appear to be planning and why it violates the constitutions of both Pennsylvania and the United States. Continue reading

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HB 2513 Threatens Not Just Our Health but the Economy

  By COVID-19, Economic Development, PA Economy, PBPC Blog posts

Republicans in Harrisburg appear ready to move to override Governor Wolf’s veto of HB 2513, which would severely limit his authority to limit the operation of restaurants, bars, and private clubs. We are well aware of the severity of the pandemic’s impact on the hospitality industry and have urged Pennsylvania’s General Assembly to act to provide relief for it. But, we are at a time when COVID-19 cases are increasing in many parts of the country with predictions of a further increase everywhere as the weather gets colder. It is not just irresponsible but insane to make it impossible for the governor to act aggressively to stem the further spread of the virus in venues that are proven to be a major source of infection. The legislation is based on a false premises—that government closures are the reason for the economic slowdown and devastation in the food service and related… Continue reading

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UPDATE: How Many Lives Have We Saved?

  By COVID-19, Economic Development, PA Economy, PBPC Blog posts

Originally published by KRC-PBPC here. While, for months, Republican legislators were insisting on a rapid reopening of businesses in Pennsylvania, Governor Wolf’s health and safety regulations created one of the most dramatic declines in both COVID-19 cases and deaths of any state in the country. After averaging 1,364 new cases per day in April and 864 in May, there was a drop to 757 in June, and after a rise in July, to 709 in August. The number of new cases has been rising again and in the beginning of October to an average of 1,206 per day. But while we should always be concerned about any increase in cases, especially as we head into potentially dangerous winter months, testing has increased by about the same degree. The state was conducting only an average of 5,963 tests per day in March and 7,558 in April. But in July, it averaged… Continue reading

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Select Committee Proposed by PA House Republicans is a Danger to our Democracy

  By 2020, Elections and Voting, Statements

Originally published by KRC-PBPC here. The Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center is a nonpartisan organization. We do not favor one party or another in partisan elections. But we do stand for elections in which everyone has an opportunity to vote and their votes are counted fairly. Thus, we can’t turn away from threats to fair elections even if they come from one political party, as they sadly do in Pennsylvania today. Just as President Trump has recently doubled down on his attempt to sow doubt and create chaos surrounding the upcoming election, Republicans in Harrisburg are proposing to create a select committee to “investigate, review, and make recommendations concerning the regulation and conduct of the 2020 general election.” This committee is a solution in search of a genuine problem. The preamble of the House resolution calls into question the good faith efforts of the administration, county officials, and the Pennsylvania… Continue reading

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The Consequences for Pennsylvania of Declaring the ACA Unconstitutional

  By About Penn Action, Health Care, Policy briefs

Originally published by KRC-PBPC at https://krc-pbpc.org/research_publication/the-consequences-for-pennsylvania-of-declaring-the-aca-unconstitutional/ A case coming before the Supreme Court threatens to declare the entire Affordable Care Act unconstitutional. If that happens, the effect on Pennsylvania and Pennsylvanians would be devastating, according to estimates we made in July of 2019, which are undoubtedly lower than a similar study would find today.[1] In Pennsylvania, 27% of adults under the age 65, or 2.1 million people, would be uninsurable in the private insurance market due to pre-existing conditions (assuming that private insurance returns to the rules in force before the ACA was in effect). This does not include the millions of people who would have to pay more for insurance because of their pre-existing conditions. The number of uninsured Pennsylvanians would rise from 644,000 to 1,502,000, an increase from 6.2% to 14.4% of the population. Prescription drug costs would rise by $226 million for 208,000 Pennsylvania seniors on Medicare. One provision of the ACA closes the Medicare… Continue reading