Category: My Work

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Analysis of Effects of House GOP Health Care Plan on Pennsylvania

  By ACA, Health Care, PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts

The following is an analysis of how the recently-released House GOP proposal, the “American Health Care Act,” would affect Pennsylvanians: The health care legislation introduced by the House Republicans late yesterday is a devastating and dishonest attack on not only the Affordable Care Act, but on the Medicaid program. When fully implemented, it will have horrible consequences not only for the health of low- and moderate- income Pennsylvanians, but on long-term care for all but our wealthiest senior citizens. We will be providing a thorough analysis of the legislation soon. But our preliminary analysis suggests that when the program is fully implemented, around 1 million low- and moderate- income Pennsylvanians will lose health insurance; the state budget will lose at least $2.5 to $3 billion in funding; at least 60,000 Pennsylvanians will lose their jobs, and over 4,000 Pennsylvanians per year will die prematurely. Some key points: The bill would… Continue reading

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Early Returns Look Good in Philadelphia’s Nation-leading Fight for a Soda Tax

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Sugary Drink Tax

I wasn’t surprised by the substantial revenues that the soda tax is bringing in, even while there is some reason to believe that soda consumption is down in the city, as we predicted it would be. For me, the soda tax has two aims–to bring in revenue and to discourage the over-consumption of soda, which contribute  to diabetes and heart disease. The second aim will  over five or ten years become more important as the tax plus public education teaches people consume to a lot less soda. Revenues will decline then, and our healthier city will need to replace some of them  raised by the tax. But at present, it looks like  revenues will be substantial to pay for the expansion of pre-K education and the community playgrounds and recreation centers for which the tax is dedicted. It will  take a month or two for these new revenues  to ramp… Continue reading

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Devastation, Death, and Deficits:The Impact of ACA Repeal on Pennsylvania

  By ACA, Health Care, PA Budget and Policy Center, Policy reports

The Affordable Care Act of 2010 is one of the most important pieces of domestic legislation enacted since the 1960s. It has had a dramatic impact in reshaping the provision of health care in the United States at a time when health care amounts to 18% of the United States economy. This report aims to quantify the benefits of the ACA to Pennsylvanians, in part by showing just how costly repeal of it will be. Click here to print or read full screen.   Continue reading

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What ACA Repeal Means in Pennsylvania

  By ACA, Health Care, PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts

We have seen politics in America take strange turns in the last few years, turns that often seem to reflect an almost total disregard of the basic facts of political and economic life. It is critical that we don’t allow this to happen in the debate about the Affordable Care Act. The consequences of repealing the ACA in Pennsylvania will be not only devastating, but deadly. We at PBPC are working on a detailed report about the consequences of repealing the ACA in our state. It will be ready soon. But the preliminary information we have compiled is so horrifying that we don’t want to wait to give you the broad outlines of what we are finding: ACA repeal will cause over 1 million Pennsylvanians to lose health insurance.Many of our fellow citizens will face dire health consequences for lack of health insurance as a result. ACA repeal will be… Continue reading

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Is this the year Pa. resolves its perennial budget crisis?

  By Budget, PA Budget and Policy Center, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Budget, Published op-eds, Taxation

This piece originally appeared in the Philadelphia Inquirer, December 28, 2016. Many of us who write about budget politics have a keyboard shortcut to enter “Pennsylvanian Budget Crisis” into a document. Year after year, we write in December about the upcoming crisis and again in July (or sometimes far later) about how the crisis has been temporarily averted. It is crisis time again. But perhaps this is the year we can change the script. There are new ways to do something that has eluded us in the past – solve the crisis on a long-term basis without imposing harsher new taxes on working people and the middle class.   Before coming to our long-term solution to the crisis, first a word about its dimension and cause. The Independent Fiscal Office has projected that the deficit for the current fiscal year, ending June 30, will be $500 million while the deficit… Continue reading

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Two Approaches to the State Budget

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Pennsylvania Budget

It’s becoming more and more rare to see serious attempts on the part of newspapers (and their virtual counterparts) to compare policy proposals meant to deal with a serious public issue. That’s one reason I was so happy to see Tim Stuhldreher’s excellent piece, “Pennsylvania think tanks battle over remedies for $1.7 billion state budget deficit” in LancasterOnline. The other reason I was happy is that the article demonstrates the difference between a serious proposal that actually tries to find a solution to the budget deficit—our Fair Share Tax Plan—and the Commonwealth Foundation’s right wing wish-list, which barely even gestures towards a solution. What, according to the piece, does the Commonwealth Foundation propose to close our state budget deficit? And what’s wrong with those ideas? They propose: Putting new state employees in a 401(k) pensions—even though Republicans have failed time and again to find such a proposal that actually reduces… Continue reading

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Pennsylvania Needs a Fairer Tax System

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Budget, Published op-eds

Originally published by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, December 26, 2016 Our proposal would be more equitable while also helping to close the deficit Pennsylvania faces another budget crisis. The combined deficit for this year and next is roughly $3 billion. It’s time all Pennsylvanians — and especially the members of our General Assembly — recognize that recurrent budget crises won’t stop until we fix our upside-down tax system. Federal tax rates are higher for those with higher incomes than those with lower incomes. However, combined state and local taxes, because they rely on property taxes, sales taxes and income taxes that do not have steeply graduated rates, often tax those with low incomes at roughly the same percentage as those with high incomes. Pennsylvania is worse than most states on this score. It is one of what the Institute on Tax and Economic Policy calls the “terrible 10” when it comes… Continue reading

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The rich can take the hit–to fix the budget they should pay their fair share.

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Pennsylvania Budget, Pennsylvania State Taxes, Published Op-Eds

Marc Stier | 01/17/2017 Blog This piece originally appeared on Pennlive, December 23, 2016. You remember how Lucille Ball would work her way into some kind of predicament and then look around and wonder how she got there? That’s how our state legislators seem to look at the budget deficit we are stuck with right now. They are looking around wondering how the current Pennsylvania budget deficit, which approaches $3 billion for this year and next year together, happened. But it didn’t just happen. It was the product of a series of long-term and short-term decisions made by legislators, sometimes with the help of our governors. Let’s start, however, with what did not cause the budget deficit, because too many of our legislators, like Lucy, want to blame someone else for the mess they have made. Growth in state spending is not the cause of budget deficits. From 1994 to… Continue reading

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Broad and Narrow Taxes

  By PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Pennsylvania, Taxation

Last week, just as we were putting out our paper on how to raise revenues without raising taxes on working people and the middle class, Governor Wolf announced that he would not call for raising broad-based taxes, particularly the personal income tax and sales tax, in the budget proposal he puts forward in February. And, of course, the Governor’s statement echoes what the Republican leaders of the General Assembly have been saying as well.   A friend asked me if I were disappointed by these announcements. I quickly responded, “not at all.”  Most of our tax plan is precisely designed NOT to require increases in broad based taxes. Indeed, the core of our proposal—a new tax on income from wealth—targets families in the top 5%, and even more the top 1%, of incomes. Sixty-seven percent of new revenues would come from top 5%. Middle- and low- income families would pay very… Continue reading

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The Budget Our Democracy Deserves

  By Fair Share Tax, PA Budget and Policy Center, PBPC Blog posts, Taxation

Many of the ideas in this post are components of PBPC’s recently-released “Fair Share Tax Proposal for Pennsylvania.” The recent political talk about Pennsylvania is focused on the latest in a series of fiscal crises. But lurking in the background is a larger crisis—a crisis of democracy in Pennsylvania. The deficit approaches $3 billion for this year and next year combined. Yet the solutions that one would think were most obvious in a putative democracy are not the ones the leaders of our General Assembly seem inclined to support. We are never going to solve our budget crises in Pennsylvania if we don’t fix our upside-down tax system. Pennsylvania is one of what the Institute on Tax and Economic Policy calls the “terrible ten” states when it comes to tax fairness. We tax those with high incomes at a far lower proportion than those with low incomes. State and local… Continue reading