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{"id":9045,"date":"2022-01-24T23:54:45","date_gmt":"2022-01-25T04:54:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/?p=9045"},"modified":"2023-07-15T23:43:35","modified_gmt":"2023-07-16T03:43:35","slug":"9045","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/?p=9045","title":{"rendered":"Another problem with judicial districts: The threat of judicial extremism"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.penncapital-star.com\/commentary\/another-problem-with-judicial-districts-the-threat-of-judicial-extremism-marc-stier\/\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Originally published by the PA Capital-Star on January 24, 2021<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Those of us who have been fighting the judicial gerrymandering constitutional amendment have been focused less on the highly uncertain partisan implications of the proposal but on its implications for the balance of power among the three branches of government in our state. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">We are concerned that giving the General Assembly the power to draw judicial districts will enable it to exert undue influence the courts. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">And that power will be especially noticeable in the transition from our current system to a future one, during which legislators would be able to interfere with the retention elections of our sitting justices and potentially deny one of them the ability to run for reelection. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The reason that almost all the states that elect justices of the highest court do so in statewide rather than district elections is to limit the influence of the legislature on the courts.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The experience of recent weeks points to another systemic problem with judicial districts\u2014the smaller the electorate the more likely that extremists will be elected. This problem has been well known to political scientists, but as partisan division has become greater in America and Pennsylvania, this problem has become more far more obvious to all.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The smaller the electoral district the more homogeneous it is likely to be both politically and demographically. The more homogenous it is, the more dominant one party is likely to be. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">And the more dominant one party is, the more likely that the extremists in the party, who tend to vote at far higher rates<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in party primaries, will determine<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the party nominee and thus who is elected to office. In large, heterogeneous districts, the party balance tends to be closer and both parties have a shot to win a general election. Parties that nominate extremists in large districts tend to lose general elections.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">That is why both U<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">S<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and Pennsylvania senators who are elected in larger districts tend to be far less extreme than members of the House<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0In the vote to reject the presidential electors chosen by Pennsylvania voters, 121 of 199\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">or 72 percent<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> of Republican U.S. House members, including eight of nine from Pennsylvania, stood with former President Donald Trump. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The U.S.Senate vote was far different\u2014only 7 of 51 <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">or 13 percent<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of Republicans supported the challenge to the electors chose<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0by the voters of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Pennsylvania<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., was adamant in rejecting it. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">We have long seen a similar phenomenon in Pennsylvania state government.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">I<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n the last few years, on issues ranging from the state budget to a shale tax to raising the minimum wage, Democrats and Republicans in the Senate have been able to reach a compromise agreement only to see the extremists in the House Republican caucus block action in that body.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">No matter which party one belongs to, it is not in our interest to see courts<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2014<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and especially our highest court<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2014<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">become even more partisan than it is today. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Far more than in a legislative body, the courts need to aim for the middle of the road, for nonpartisanship, and above all for consistency. The rule of precedent\u2014<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">stare decisis<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2014is critical in interpreting constitutions and statute because a legal system only functions well when the requirements of the law are predictable and reliable.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Republicans\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">who<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0opposed some of the decisions of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court in recent years will complain that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the court\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">has not followed this rule. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But while they lost cases on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ongressional gerrymandering and emergency powers, the Democratic majority on the court was not wholly unified on either case and the decisions were based on reasonable interpretations of statute and the Pennsylvania\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">C<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">onstitution. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">And those who are complaining should be careful what they wish for. There is no certainty<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0about<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0control\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">of a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Supreme Court elected\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0districts<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and we could imagine far more radical decisions emerging from a Supreme Court controlled by extremists that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">both\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Republicans\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Democrats might oppose.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">One of the most important political adages is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">beware unintended consequences.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Th<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">at<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0judicial gerrymandering\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">might lead to judicial extremism is one that should concern us.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But there is another possibility\u2014that this consequence is\u00a0<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">intended<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0by the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">prime sponsor of this amendment, state Rep. Russ Diamond, R-Lebanon, and his allies. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Diamond is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on the far<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2013<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">right edge of his caucus. He\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">has\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">been minimizing the danger of COVID-19<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">thinks that mask requirements are an attack on our civil liberties,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">almost always votes against the budget<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. H<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is other big idea is to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">institute a sales\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">tax\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">groceries and medicine.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">If\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">judicial\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">gerrymandering\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">actually succeeds<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">packing most Democrats into a few court districts centered around Pittsburgh, Philly<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and their suburbs, Republicans in these regions\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">would find no path\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to be elected to the appellate courts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">That might drive\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Republican lawyers in these regions\u2014who are usually prominent political\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">activists and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">contributors\u2014to change parties<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0which would<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, in turn,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0undermine\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Republ<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">i<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ca<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n Party in these regions.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Those of us who believe\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that democracy requires two vigorous, competitive parties\u2014and for years have bemoaned the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">lack<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">two vigorous parties in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Philadelphia<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2014may be concerned about\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the consequences<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0judicial gerrymandering\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">for<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the Republican Party in Democratic areas of the state. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">But what is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">one more\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">bug\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in this\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">constitutional amendment for\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">me might\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">actually\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">be<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a feature for extremists like Diamond who\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">want the Republican Party to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">move further to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the right<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and are not concerned with the losing more moderate Republicans in southeastern and southwestern Pennsylvania<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Whatever the intention<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of its prime sponsor, those of us who want the state to take a step back from partisan division and extremism, and who welcome vigorous party competition in every part of the state<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0should be wary of the long-term consequences of this amendment.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Originally published by the PA Capital-Star on January 24, 2021 Those of us who have been fighting the judicial gerrymandering constitutional amendment have been focused less on the highly uncertain partisan implications of the proposal but on its implications for the balance of power among the three branches of government in our state. We are concerned that giving the General Assembly the power to draw judicial districts will enable it to exert undue influence the courts. And that power will be especially noticeable in the transition from our current system to a future one, during which legislators would be able to interfere with the retention elections of our sitting justices and potentially deny one of them the ability to run for reelection. The reason that almost all the states that elect justices of the highest court do so in statewide rather than district elections is to limit the influence of\u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/?p=9045\">Continue reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1896,"featured_media":9046,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[238,197,201],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-judicial-gerrymandering-politics","category-pa-budget-and-policy-center","category-published-op-eds-2"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/IMG_3772-1024x768-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/s35YuU-9045","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9045","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1896"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9045"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9045\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9081,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9045\/revisions\/9081"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9045"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9045"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcstier.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9045"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}